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JPMorgan chase earnings

JPMorgan Chase Earnings: JPM to Kick Off Earnings Season with Q4 Results

By:Thomas Westwater

 

  • JPMorgan Chase earnings are due out Tuesday, January 13.
  • JPM falls ahead of earnings on potential White House move to cap credit card interest rates.
  • Options show an expected move of +/- 10.43 points, or 3.21% of Monday’s stock price. 

JPMorgan Chase to report Q4 Earnings on Tuesday, January 13

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is set to report earnings on Tuesday, January 13, before the market open. It will be the first big bank to report, which will set the tone for the earnings season. 

The bank stock fell nearly 2% on Monday after President Trump signaled appetite to cap credit card rates at 10% for one year. That move would likely hit profitability for big banks while doing little to address affordability. 

Chase announced earlier this month that it would become the new issuer of the Apple Card. Goldman Sachs (GS) was the previous bank for issuing Apple Cards. Goldman reports earnings later this week on Thursday. The transition is expected to take up to two years to complete. 

The new partnership will likely bring a $2.2 billion provision for credit losses, increasing its costs for the quarter. Although a one-time hit, traders will have to assess this figure together with the overall expense metrics. 

Chase did signal back in December that 2026 expenses could rise by $1 to $2 billion from prior expectations to put the total yearly costs at $105 billion. Part of the higher costs will likely come from increased spending on artificial intelligence. The bank is also increasing compensation. 

However, AI-driven efficiencies are also expected to add billions to its annual return on investment starting this year. The bank has integrated its proprietary LLM suite to hundreds of thousands of its employees. Still, the market will have to be convinced that it is matching spend with returns. The path of monetary policy will also be key for JPM stock in 2026, although out of the company’s control. 

Trading JPM earnings

JPM started the year off on a high note, hitting a fresh all-time high on January 5 at 337.25 per share. Traders will likely be able to maintain recent momentum if the bank is able to beat analysts’ figures. 

According to TradingView, JPM is expected to post earnings per share (EPS) of $4.85 on $46.17 billion in revenue. The bank has a solid track record of beating estimates, with it exceeding figures in every quarter over the preceding year.  

Prices have largely maintained above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) since April of last year. Monday’s pullback saw prices fall to challenge the 21-day exponential moving average, although the stock closed above the key EMA at the end of the trading day.

That said, a positive response would have traders looking to overtake the recent high. Alternatively, a disappointing set of results could move prices down to challenge the 100-day SMA. 

JPM traded with an implied volatility rank of 17.4, meaning that volatility is subdued compared with the past twelve months of trading. The options market shows an expected move of +/- 10.43 points, or 3.21% of Monday’s 324.41 closing price. 

 

 

JPMorgan Chase chart

 


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