sinwaves
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This Obscure Charting Tool Suggests Retail is Heading Lower & Natural Gas is Heading Higher

By:Tim Knight

A look at Sine Waves

In the world of securities charting, as pretty as the sinewave tool is, it is rarely useful. In fact, just about the only instance I’ve ever found of it is with the natural gas chart, which looks poised to go higher in the months ahead.

natural gas sinwave chart
slopecharts.com

However, I noticed something with XRT (the retail ETF) which was fascinating, so I decided to give it a try. Lo and behold, the sinewave on this is BEAUTIFUL! The regularity of these zones of strength and weakness is uncanny.

XRT (retail ETF) sinewave
slopecharts.com
Here is the longer-term view. I’d say the odds are quite strong that XRT is heading lower.

Strong chance that XRT is heading lower
slopecharts.com

How a trader exploits this is naturally up to their own tolerance for risk. They could short XRT, go long puts for more leverage, or take on a more sophisticated strategy. The takeaway from this chart is that, in this one altogether rare instance of a sinewave lining up tidily with price action over a long period, it seems to be a compelling opportunity to profit from lower prices from the retail sector.

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