Robinhood Earnings Preview: Can HOOD Rebound Against Bitcoin Headwinds?
Robinhood Earnings Preview: Can HOOD Rebound Against Bitcoin Headwinds?
- Robinhood is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday, February 10.
- Traders are looking for a comeback after Bitcoin selloff dragged on Hood to start the year.
- Options traders see an expected move of +/- 8.61 points.
Robinhood (HOOD) is scheduled to announce earnings on Tuesday, February 10, after the market close. The stock is down about 25% since the start of the year. A selloff in cryptocurrencies has been a big drag, with a significant chunk of the brokerage’s business coming from transaction fees from Bitcoin and other crypto assets.
The earnings report will need to impress investors for it to stage a comeback rally. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 2% since the start of the year. Bitcoin is down about 20% over the same period.
One area investors are looking at is Robinhood’s sports and prediction market. Robinhood launched betting on professional and college football in August 2025. Contract volumes have quickly expanded.
The user base of existing customers has provided the company with a quick conversion pipeline to push more customers into the rapidly growing yet competitive segment. Parlay-style betting is one of the latest offerings for customers, and there appears to be plans to expand further into prediction markets.
What do analysts expect?
According to TradingView, analysts expect HOOD to post earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63 on $1.35 billion in revenue. That would compare to an EPS of $1.01 on $1.01 billion in revenue a year ago. Last quarter, HOOD posted EPS of $0.61 on $1.27 billion revenue.
The company has a solid track record of surpassing estimates, with EPS and revenue beating figures in all the preceding four quarters. Still, investors want to hear from management, especially on the company’s outlook. Good numbers alone don’t guarantee that dip buyers will be rewarded here.
Trading HOOD earnings
According to the options market, the expected move for HOOD earnings is +/- 8.61 points. That’s about 10% of the current stock price, which is on the upper range of the average 5% to 10% move for S&P 500 companies.
The implied volatility rank (IVR) for HOOD was at 41.4 as of Monday, meaning that volatility is slightly lower than compared with the past twelve months of trading.
Technically, HOOD is trading below its 9- and 21 day exponential moving averages (EMAs). Those EMAs, especially the 9-day, have acted as resistance since early January, capping several attempts to rebound. Retracing back above the 100 psychological level would do a lot to renew some confidence in the stock price, although that is outside of the expected move.
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