Disney Q2 Earnings on Tap: Will Recent Gains Continue?
Disney Q2 Earnings on Tap: Will Recent Gains Continue?
Its stock quickly recovered after dipping in response to Trump’s talk of a 100% tariff on foreign films
- Disney is set to report earnings before the market opens on Wednesday.
- Analysts expect earnings per share and revenue to cross the wires at $1.19 and $23.09 billion, respectively.
- The company is looking at an expected move of +/- 5.92 points, or 6.4% of the current stock price.
Disney (DIS) is scheduled to report fiscal second quarter earnings before the opening bell on Wednesday. Management will hold a webcast following the earnings to discuss the results.
An announcement by President Donald Trump sent Disney lower to start the week by stating movies made outside the United States would face a 100% tariff. Disney trimmed the losses through today’s morning session to trade slightly positive.
Meanwhile, Disney has found some success at the box office with Marvel’s Thunderbolts. The movie grossed $76 million in the United States, which beat expectations. Reviews have been largely positive, which may help the movie perform well in the following weeks.
Analysts are closely watching Disney’s Experiences segment, which includes theme parks and resorts. Some expect headwinds because of a drop in tourism to the United States, which could directly affect profits in the segment.
The risk of a recession could also drag down Disney’s outlook in this segment. However, the company’s plans to bolster its cruise line business could start to show up as early as this quarter. It intends to nearly double its fleet by 2031.
What do experts expect?
Analysts expect anticipate earnings per share (EPS) of $1.19, a decline from $1.21 a year ago and a decline last quarter’s $1.76, according to TradingView.
Revenue is expected to cross the wires at $23.09 billion. That would be up from $22.08 billion a year ago, but down from $24.69 billion last quarter.
Analyst ratings of the stock are generally positive, with 24 strong buy and buy ratings. There’s only one strong sell rating, and it has seven hold ratings. The average one-year price target is 120.92, a 30% gain from today’s 92.65 stock price.
Trading Disney earnings
The options market for Disney calls for an expected move of +/- 5.92 points, or 6.4% of the stock price. That’s within the average earnings move of a 5%-10% range for S&P 500 companies.
Disney stock is trading well below the 2025 high of 118.59 it reached in February. Since then, the stock is down nearly 22%, but it’s managed to rise almost 16% since its 2025 low in early April. The broader recovery in market sentiment has helped Disney recover from those lows. The earnings result, if good, may help fuel further gains in the stock.
Technically, Disney has seen prices rise above the now upward sloping 9- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), but prices remain below the key simple moving averages (SMAs). The 50-day SMA at 96.21 is within the expected move range. If Disney stock can clear above this level, it could provide additional support for more upside post earnings.
Thomas Westwater, a tastylive financial writer and analyst, has eight years of markets and trading experience. #@fxwestwater
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